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New Marist polling Thursday September 26, 2024 from shows Vice President Kamala Harris trailing Donald Trump in Arizona and Georgia by 1 percentage point. In Arizona, Harris is struggling to match Biden's 2020 support among key groups, particularly Latinos. Despite Harris’s challenges, the Arizona Senate race shows Democrat Ruben Gallego with a 10-point lead over Republican Kari Lake.
New polls show Harris narrowly trailing Trump in the battleground states of Arizona and Georgia. Harris is underperforming among key demographics, including Latinos, compared to Biden in 2020, but she has a slight edge with independents.
Real Clear Polling recently shifted its Electoral College map forecast, moving Minnesota from leaning towards Kamala Harris to a toss-up in the 2024 presidential race. This change suggests that former President Donald Trump could compete for Minnesota, a state that has consistently voted Democratic for 12 elections. With this shift, Trump now leads Harris with 219 Electoral College votes to her 215, while 104 votes, primarily from key swing states, remain undecided. This development could open a new path for Trump's potential victory. Tim Waltz is the current governor of Minnesota.
Nebraska Governor Jim Pillen has announced that he will not call a special session to change Nebraska's electoral vote system from district-based to winner-take-all, a move supported by Donald Trump. Pillen’s decision, based on insufficient legislative support, ends Trump's effort to secure an additional electoral vote from Nebraska’s 2nd Congressional District.
The shift of Minnesota to a toss-up in Real Clear Polling’s Electoral College map gives Trump a potential edge in 2024. With Nebraska’s governor rejecting changes to its electoral vote system, the Omaha-area vote remains a key factor in the tight race between Trump and Kamala Harris.